Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 60.239443 68.447736 76.898656 86.216494 96.169777 106.453265 117.850831
2025-05-11 46.883405 58.441926 70.951607 85.359204 101.364084 118.479001 138.047890
2025-05-18 39.661387 53.066663 68.121450 85.997631 106.381234 128.663608 154.634350
2025-05-25 33.554148 48.057178 64.917903 85.492640 109.487727 136.205068 167.835303
2025-06-01 29.113910 44.439715 62.827834 85.809461 113.128456 144.012769 181.041254
2025-06-08 24.817042 40.504523 59.945028 84.821958 114.940090 149.476840 191.368060
2025-06-15 22.224633 38.464061 59.152322 86.146162 119.311253 157.770497 204.841215
2025-06-22 20.050951 36.744216 58.578346 87.584249 123.697906 165.995248 218.173487
2025-06-29 17.304228 33.945488 56.388544 86.812836 125.249889 170.755623 227.366651
2025-07-06 14.452083 30.683234 53.343153 84.745208 125.037344 173.277447 233.812270
2025-07-13 13.718742 30.517227 54.440747 88.004198 131.436753 183.752604 249.706427
2025-07-20 12.645153 29.707695 54.569012 89.932556 136.125588 192.136003 263.102777
2025-07-27 10.897120 27.653530 52.849513 89.356306 137.633239 196.674778 271.965795
2025-08-03 9.261782 25.587987 50.976498 88.468937 138.669362 200.589751 280.054923
2025-08-10 8.199184 24.386791 50.282889 89.122825 141.646818 206.871307 290.993460
2025-08-17 6.986279 22.742246 48.808664 88.606777 143.032667 211.127953 299.435447
2025-08-24 6.087800 21.570084 47.976740 88.930401 145.480142 216.686551 309.457468
2025-08-31 5.038395 19.915598 46.271149 87.921793 146.092749 219.888313 316.548686
2025-09-07 4.521551 19.318241 46.222152 89.274267 149.851621 227.070857 328.563791
2025-09-14 4.072600 18.802956 46.269212 90.742853 153.755551 234.437277 340.816418
2025-09-21 3.335749 17.454965 44.831743 89.955105 154.548331 237.795519 348.063688
2025-09-28 2.530685 15.706918 42.575488 87.843399 153.452949 238.671425 352.167438
2025-10-05 2.466621 15.987701 43.900181 91.171669 159.883832 249.293222 368.520128